The following payoff table shows the profit for a decision problem with two states of nature and two decision alternatives. (a) Suppose
P(s_(1))=0.2
and
P(s_(2))=0.8
. What is the best decision using the expected value approach? The best decision is
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with an expected value of 6. .: found in part (a) optimal. As long as the payoff for
s_(1)
under
d_(1)
is 6.2 X , then the solution found in part (a) will be optimal. As long as the payoff for
s_(2)
under
d_(1)
is , then the solution found in part (a) will be optimal. Is the solution more sensitive to the payoff under state of nature
s_(1)
or
s_(2)
?
S_(1)
S_(2)